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Daniel Yergin

We are living in a new age of energy supply anxiety.

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It's extraordinary how inventive one can be with ethanol right now.

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Cycles of shortage and surplus characterize the entire history of oil.

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Even Silicon Valley investors have put well over a $1 billion in new energy technologies.

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We experienced similiar fears in the 1880s, at the end of World War I and II. And we ran out in the 1970s.

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A premium in the oil price of somewhere between 10 to 15 dollars a barrel reflects this heightened anxiety.

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The North Sea was supposed to run out in the 1980s. Then in the 1990s. And now production is still on-line.

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The starting point for energy security today as it has always been is diversification of supplies and sources.

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Clearly, the Chinese need the resources, but I don't think they want to clash with the industrial world which happens to be the market for their goods.

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So the major obstacle to the development of new supplies is not geology but what happens above ground: international affairs, politics, investment and technology.

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